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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

Name: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Brand: Recyclivre
Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
ISBN: 9780141034591

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

28/02/2008
Penguin

NC (0 avis)

Couverture de The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable par Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Résumé

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent